HVAC Market Analysis: Size, Share, Forecast, and Trends

Meticulous Research® has published a comprehensive report titled ‘HVAC Market by Offering, System, Distribution Mode, Type (Split System, Packaged System), Portability, Sales Channel, Application (Cooling, Heating, Filtering), End User (Industrial, Residential, Commercial), and Geography - Global Forecast to 2031.’ According to the report, the global HVAC market is projected to grow to $456.6 billion by 2031, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.8% between 2024 and 2031.

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Several factors are fueling the growth of the global HVAC market. Rapid urbanization, rising levels of indoor air pollution, and consumer demand for enhanced comfort and convenience are some of the primary drivers. In addition, the fast-growing e-commerce sector and numerous government initiatives focused on improving air quality are further boosting the market. However, the high cost of HVAC systems and their maintenance, combined with consumer reluctance to embrace new technologies, may impede market growth to some extent.

Technological advancements, particularly in air conditioning systems with inverter and air purification technologies, present significant growth opportunities for stakeholders in the HVAC market. Nonetheless, low market penetration in developing countries remains a major challenge.

The HVAC market is divided into segments based on offering, system, distribution mode, type, portability, sales channel, application, and end user. The report also evaluates the competitive landscape and analyzes the market across various regions and countries.

In terms of offering, the global HVAC market is segmented into components and services. In 2024, the components segment is expected to hold over 84% of the market share, driven by the rising adoption of ventilation systems designed to improve indoor air quality and humidity control, as well as the increased use of heat pumps in cold climates. The growing use of HVAC systems to optimize airflow distribution and reduce energy consumption further supports the dominance of this segment. Conversely, the services segment is expected to witness the fastest growth, largely due to the increasing need for HVAC services that enhance indoor air quality, productivity, and comfort while ensuring compliance with regulatory standards.

The HVAC market is also categorized by system into primary and secondary HVAC systems. The secondary HVAC systems segment is forecast to account for more than 66% of the market in 2024, largely due to the rising use of air handling units to filter pollutants and allergens. Secondary systems are increasingly favored for their ability to improve energy efficiency and indoor air quality, making them crucial for reducing operational costs and enhancing employee comfort. This segment is also expected to record the highest CAGR during the forecast period.

In terms of distribution mode, the HVAC market is divided into centralized and decentralized systems. The decentralized systems segment is projected to dominate the market with a share exceeding 72% in 2024. These systems are gaining popularity for their ability to deliver heating, cooling, and ventilation to specific zones, thereby reducing energy consumption. Decentralized systems are also appreciated for their redundancy and ease of maintenance. This segment is expected to grow at the highest rate over the forecast period.

When categorized by type, the market covers split systems, dual fuel heat pump systems, ductless mini-split systems, packaged systems, and others. Split systems are expected to hold the largest share of over 28% in 2024, thanks to their energy efficiency and ability to provide temperature control to different zones within a building. However, the ductless mini-split system segment is expected to experience the fastest growth. The increasing demand for sustainable, energy-efficient systems in developing nations, coupled with the ease of installation and maintenance, is driving this growth.

Based on portability, the HVAC market is segmented into standalone/portable and in-duct/fixed systems. The in-duct/fixed segment is expected to dominate with a market share of over 59% in 2024, driven by technological advances and rising commercial investments aimed at improving air quality in workplaces. However, the standalone/portable segment is forecast to grow at the highest CAGR, fueled by increasing demand in the residential sector for portable units that offer targeted air cleaning and versatility.

In terms of sales channel, the market is divided into online and offline. The offline segment is anticipated to dominate with a market share of over 73% in 2024, as many consumers prefer in-store assistance, brand expertise, and the ability to take products home immediately. Nonetheless, the online segment is expected to grow rapidly, driven by the booming e-commerce industry, 24/7 availability, and the convenience of comparing products and prices online.

The market is also segmented by application into cooling, heating, ventilation, filtering, humidification & dehumidification, and air purification. The cooling segment is projected to hold the largest share of over 32% in 2024, primarily due to the increasing adoption of centralized HVAC systems, technological innovations in air conditioning, and government-led efforts to improve air quality. This segment is also expected to post the highest CAGR throughout the forecast period.

The end users of HVAC systems include the residential, commercial, industrial, agriculture, and IT & telecommunications sectors. The residential segment is expected to account for over 26% of the global market share in 2024, supported by rising disposable incomes, improved living standards, and the growing use of portable air purification units in homes. However, the commercial sector is predicted to experience the fastest growth, driven by stricter government regulations on indoor air quality and greater public awareness of the health risks posed by poor air quality.

Geographically, the HVAC market is segmented into North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa. In 2024, Asia-Pacific is expected to hold the largest market share of over 45%, driven by rapid urbanization, industrialization, and technological advancements in HVAC systems. The region’s growing awareness of indoor air quality and increased spending on construction projects are further boosting the market. Asia-Pacific is also anticipated to register the highest CAGR of over 9% during the forecast period.

Key Players

The key players operating in the global HVAC market are Daikin Industries, Ltd. (Japan), Atlas Copco AB (Sweden), Lennox International Inc. (U.S.), LG Electronics Inc. (South Korea), Johnson Controls Inc. (U.S.), ABB Ltd. (Switzerland), Trane Technologies Company, LLC (Ireland), Carrier Global Corporation (U.S.), Mitsubishi Electric Corporation (Japan), Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. (South Korea), Siemens AG (Germany), Toshiba Corporation (Japan), Rheem Manufacturing Company (U.S.), Blue Star Limited (India), and Emerson Electric Co. (U.S.).

To gain more insights into the market with a detailed table of content and figures, click here: https://www.meticulousresearch.com/product/hvac-market-5968

Key Questions Answered in the Report:

  • What are the high-growth market segments in terms of the offering, system, distribution mode, type, portability, sales channel, application, and end user?
  • What is the historical market size for the global HVAC market?
  • What are the market forecasts and estimates for 2024–2031?
  • What are the major drivers, restraints, opportunities, challenges, and trends in the global HVAC market?
  • Who are the major players in the global HVAC market, and what are their market shares?
  • What is the competitive landscape like?
  • What are the recent developments in the global HVAC market?
  • What are the different strategies adopted by major market players?
  • What are the trends and high-growth countries?
  • Who are the local emerging players in the global HVAC market, and how do they compete with other players?

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HVAC Market, Ductless Air Conditioner, Air Filtration Devices, Air Purification Devices, Portable Air Purifier, Air Conditioner Service, Heating and Air Conditioning, Air Conditioning, Central Air Conditioner, AC, Semiconductor and Electronics
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